1. Identificação | |
Tipo de Referência | Artigo em Evento (Conference Proceedings) |
Site | mtc-m21c.sid.inpe.br |
Código do Detentor | isadg {BR SPINPE} ibi 8JMKD3MGPCW/3DT298S |
Identificador | 8JMKD3MGP3W34R/44JURTE |
Repositório | sid.inpe.br/mtc-m21c/2021/04.30.18.11 |
Última Atualização | 2021:04.30.18.11.30 (UTC) simone |
Repositório de Metadados | sid.inpe.br/mtc-m21c/2021/04.30.18.11.30 |
Última Atualização dos Metadados | 2022:04.03.22.29.11 (UTC) administrator |
Chave Secundária | INPE--PRE/ |
DOI | 10.5194/egusphere-egu21-6347 |
Chave de Citação | BurtonKeJoBeCaAn:2021:SoAmFi |
Título | South American fires and their impacts on ecosystems increase with continued emissions |
Ano | 2021 |
Data de Acesso | 20 maio 2024 |
Tipo Secundário | PRE CI |
Número de Arquivos | 1 |
Tamanho | 277 KiB |
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2. Contextualização | |
Autor | 1 Burton, Chantelle 2 Kelley, Douglas 3 Jones, Chris 4 Betts, Richard 5 Cardoso, Manoel Ferreira 6 Anderson, Liana |
ORCID | 1 0000-0003-0201-5727 2 0000-0003-1413-4969 3 0000-0002-7141-9285 4 5 0000-0003-2447-6882 |
Grupo | 1 2 3 4 5 DIIAV-CGCT-INPE-MCTI-GOV-BR |
Afiliação | 1 Met Office 2 UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology 3 Met Office 4 Met Office 5 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE) 6 Centro Nacional de Monitoramento e Alertas de Desastres Naturais (CEMADEN) |
Endereço de e-Mail do Autor | 1 chantelle.burton@metoffice.gov.uk 2 3 4 5 manoelfcardoso@gmail.com |
Nome do Evento | EGU General Assembly |
Localização do Evento | Online |
Data | 19-30 apr. |
Editora (Publisher) | EGU |
Histórico (UTC) | 2021-04-30 18:11:30 :: simone -> administrator :: 2022-04-03 22:29:11 :: administrator -> simone :: 2021 |
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3. Conteúdo e estrutura | |
É a matriz ou uma cópia? | é a matriz |
Estágio do Conteúdo | concluido |
Transferível | 1 |
Tipo do Conteúdo | External Contribution |
Resumo | Unprecedented fire events in recent years are leading to a demand for improved understanding of how climate change is already affecting fires, and how this could change in the future. Increased fire activity in South America is one of the most concerning of all the recent events, given the potential impacts on local health and the global climate from loss of large carbon stores under future environmental change. However, due to the complexity of interactions and feedbacks, and lack of complete representation of fire biogeochemistry in many climate models, there is currently low agreement on whether climate change will cause fires to become more or less frequent in the future, and what impact this will have on ecosystems. Here we use the latest climate simulations from the UK Earth System Model UKESM1 to understand feedbacks in fire, dynamic vegetation, and terrestrial carbon stores using the fire-enabled land surface model JULES-INFERNO, taking into account future scenarios of change in emissions and land use. Based on evaluation of the modelling framework performance for the present day, we address the specific policy-relevant question: how much fire-induced carbon loss will there be over South America at different global warming levels in the future? We find that burned area and fire emissions are projected to increase in the future due to hotter and drier conditions, which leads to large reductions in carbon storage especially when combined with increasing land-use conversion. The model simulates a 38% loss of carbon at 4°C under the highest emission scenario, which could be reduced to 8% if temperature rise is limited to 1.5°C. Our results provide a critical assessment of ecosystem resilience under future climate change, and could inform the way fire and land-use is managed in the future to reduce the most deleterious impacts of climate change. |
Área | CST |
Arranjo | urlib.net > BDMCI > Fonds > Produção a partir de 2021 > CGCT > South American fires... |
Conteúdo da Pasta doc | acessar |
Conteúdo da Pasta source | não têm arquivos |
Conteúdo da Pasta agreement | |
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4. Condições de acesso e uso | |
URL dos dados | http://urlib.net/ibi/8JMKD3MGP3W34R/44JURTE |
URL dos dados zipados | http://urlib.net/zip/8JMKD3MGP3W34R/44JURTE |
Idioma | en |
Arquivo Alvo | EGU21-6347-print.pdf |
Grupo de Usuários | simone |
Visibilidade | shown |
Permissão de Atualização | não transferida |
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5. Fontes relacionadas | |
Unidades Imediatamente Superiores | 8JMKD3MGPCW/46KUATE |
Lista de Itens Citando | |
Acervo Hospedeiro | urlib.net/www/2017/11.22.19.04 |
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6. Notas | |
Campos Vazios | archivingpolicy archivist booktitle callnumber copyholder copyright creatorhistory descriptionlevel dissemination e-mailaddress edition editor format isbn issn keywords label lineage mark mirrorrepository nextedition notes numberofvolumes organization pages parameterlist parentrepositories previousedition previouslowerunit progress project publisheraddress readergroup readpermission resumeid rightsholder schedulinginformation secondarydate secondarymark serieseditor session shorttitle sponsor subject tertiarymark tertiarytype type url versiontype volume |
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7. Controle da descrição | |
e-Mail (login) | simone |
atualizar | |
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